Line Discourse And Readout
Why each unit scored where it did, then how the comparison stacks up.
The optimized lineup discourse comes first in paired rows so the unit logic is easy to scan, and the comparison readout follows underneath in the same panel.
Line 1
Pavel Dorofeyev - Jack Eichel - Mark Stone
Mark Stone, Pavel Dorofeyev, Jack Eichel do not have a direct trio sample in the stats set, so the model leans on their individual value, support usage, and role-fit profile. That still produced a 67.5 chemistry proxy for this deployment slot.
Line 2
Tomas Hertl - Brett Howden - Mitch Marner
Tomas Hertl, Mitch Marner, Brett Howden do not have a direct trio sample in the stats set, so the model leans on their individual value, support usage, and role-fit profile. That still produced a 58.3 chemistry proxy for this deployment slot.
Line 3
Reilly Smith - Colton Sissons - Ivan Barbashev
Reilly Smith, Ivan Barbashev, Colton Sissons do not have a direct trio sample in the stats set, so the model leans on their individual value, support usage, and role-fit profile. That still produced a 44.7 chemistry proxy for this deployment slot.
Line 4
Cole Smith - Nic Dowd - Keegan Kolesar
Cole Smith, Keegan Kolesar, Nic Dowd do not have a direct trio sample in the stats set, so the model leans on their individual value, support usage, and role-fit profile. That still produced a 35.5 chemistry proxy for this deployment slot.
Pair 1
Shea Theodore - Brayden McNabb
Direct Pair Stats
Shea Theodore - Brayden McNabb
52 GP • 56.0% xG • 34.26 xGF • 26.61 xGA
Shea Theodore and Brayden McNabb carry 56.0% xG share across 52 tracked games in the stats set, which keeps them above more speculative swaps unless the gain is material.
Pair 2
Jeremy Lauzon - Kaedan Korczak
Direct Pair Stats
Jeremy Lauzon - Kaedan Korczak
58 GP • 55.0% xG • 13.71 xGF • 11.09 xGA
Jeremy Lauzon and Kaedan Korczak carry 55.0% xG share across 58 tracked games in the stats set, which keeps them above more speculative swaps unless the gain is material.
Pair 3
Noah Hanifin - Rasmus Andersson
Direct Pair Stats
Noah Hanifin - Rasmus Andersson
29 GP • 53.0% xG • 15.03 xGF • 13.30 xGA
Noah Hanifin and Rasmus Andersson carry 53.0% xG share across 29 tracked games in the stats set, which keeps them above more speculative swaps unless the gain is material.
Goalies
Carter Hart / Akira Schmid
Carter Hart grades as the top starter based on GSAx, rate performance, and workload, while Akira Schmid lands as the clear backup runner-up from the same three-goalie pool.